Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 1.259261 1.518235 1.838387 2.271011 2.852807 3.627286 4.771039
2025-01-19 0.887085 1.175149 1.582940 2.230332 3.291727 5.090969 8.725573
2025-01-26 0.739551 1.048733 1.533157 2.408621 4.116634 7.788140 18.438746
2025-02-02 0.636504 0.948598 1.476257 2.533177 4.926163 11.376404 39.687936
2025-02-09 0.547474 0.845096 1.376713 2.527442 5.463312 15.132332 81.598661
2025-02-16 0.473776 0.750478 1.265432 2.448863 5.775355 18.856208 166.175591
2025-02-23 0.429579 0.698845 1.221932 2.504119 6.525009 26.213938 529.380035
2025-03-02 0.398222 0.664616 1.204196 2.615244 7.582921 39.088219 4067.926311
2025-03-09 0.365131 0.621264 1.156886 2.630621 8.338188 54.305844 457039.919047
2025-03-16 0.329828 0.568313 1.077627 2.527685 8.529976 66.612231 NaN
2025-03-23 0.312301 0.548681 1.070311 2.638384 9.885631 108.631793 NaN
2025-03-30 0.292391 0.521299 1.039209 2.663525 10.877930 165.697332 NaN
2025-04-06 0.269017 0.484390 0.979998 2.580483 11.212187 223.060104 NaN
2025-04-13 0.249878 0.454584 0.934080 2.531418 11.775722 327.134328 NaN
2025-04-20 0.243364 0.451530 0.956110 2.743196 14.712277 995.474678 NaN
2025-04-27 0.234648 0.442377 0.960262 2.891804 17.644448 4022.270587 NaN
2025-05-04 0.221654 0.421906 0.929705 2.884942 19.144204 15381.477528 NaN
2025-05-11 0.207383 0.397041 0.882977 2.791124 19.540706 56377.173156 NaN
2025-05-18 0.199019 0.385254 0.871943 2.857075 22.282354 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.193001 0.378401 0.874205 2.989985 26.722668 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.184647 0.365035 0.854760 3.008405 29.594054 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.173824 0.344681 0.811100 2.885230 29.442182 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.169351 0.339664 0.814424 3.017708 35.658308 NaN NaN